So Baltimore fell in and how it all happened who knows? If you look at the stats for this game Titans have 391 total yards to 211 yards for the Ravens who still managed to win? If you want to relive this great tip, catch it on NFL Video review. What worries me already for next week is that the Ravens offence was really two huge passes and for massive gains, and one great catch in the fourth qtr by TE Todd Heap on that final drive. For the record I think Joe Flacco got the ball LATE from his Centre on that final drive, but I am not sure that in itself would have changed the result. I was surprised Titans coach Jeff Fisher didn't challenge. As for my tip on the outsider Baltimore Ravens, they have done me proud. And even though the total moved from 33.0 to 34.0 back to 33.5 a lot of the Betchoice.com punter backed the overs as we tried to keep the total as low as possible. So a good result in the end. Being on Baltimore Ravens to win the Superbowl I would prefer them to play Pittsburgh than the Chargers as a matchup.
As for the Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers game... what the hell happened? I was pretty close to the score 35-14, just the wrong damn team! If you also read the last tip you would have noticed I backed the over 46.5 and wanted to hedge out at 49.0! Luckily one stupid bookie in the Uk went up 49.0 otherwise it would have been a stripout, wasn't going to take under 48.5! I can't believe Carolina went for the extra point in the end, not to mention the intercepts for Carolina in the red zone!!! Sure I had some back on the unders, but thos who followed me at backed the overs, what the hell happened to Carolina? Points wise Arizona did their job, but Carolina in the form of Jake Delhomme just threw it away Favresuque, 5 Intercepts and 1 fumble, you go from -9.5 favs to giving yourself no chance. His passer rating was 39 though I would have just given him -6 on principal. Defensively though how does Larry Fitzgerald (without team mate Anquin Boldin) be allowed to be so Open! Seriously, I am talking wide open, sure sometimes early in the game he went up into double coverage and just wanted the ball more, but other times, it was like a walk in the park? I don't get it! On the other side, Steve Smith got the interference call early in the game, but zero catches until the last minute of the third qtr! Whats going on! If you want to see this tragedy check out the recap video. Just remember if the Eagles beat the NY Giants its an Arizona home game!
As for the Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers game... what the hell happened? I was pretty close to the score 35-14, just the wrong damn team! If you also read the last tip you would have noticed I backed the over 46.5 and wanted to hedge out at 49.0! Luckily one stupid bookie in the Uk went up 49.0 otherwise it would have been a stripout, wasn't going to take under 48.5! I can't believe Carolina went for the extra point in the end, not to mention the intercepts for Carolina in the red zone!!! Sure I had some back on the unders, but thos who followed me at backed the overs, what the hell happened to Carolina? Points wise Arizona did their job, but Carolina in the form of Jake Delhomme just threw it away Favresuque, 5 Intercepts and 1 fumble, you go from -9.5 favs to giving yourself no chance. His passer rating was 39 though I would have just given him -6 on principal. Defensively though how does Larry Fitzgerald (without team mate Anquin Boldin) be allowed to be so Open! Seriously, I am talking wide open, sure sometimes early in the game he went up into double coverage and just wanted the ball more, but other times, it was like a walk in the park? I don't get it! On the other side, Steve Smith got the interference call early in the game, but zero catches until the last minute of the third qtr! Whats going on! If you want to see this tragedy check out the recap video. Just remember if the Eagles beat the NY Giants its an Arizona home game!
Breaking down the other two games, Eli Manning may not have had as bad game as Jake Delhomme, but Giants were just out played and out hussled. I felt after the 1st qtr that the Eagles have got this game and really the NY Giants as a whole don't have their head in the game. Of course I believe the Eagles 'can' Win the lot, and with their 5th visit to the NFC Championship game in 8 years this team reminds me of the NY Giants last year. They do have to travel to Arizona next week, I don't have them favourites, but I can say all other bookies do! Perhaps it was Manning or perhaps it was the Eagles Defense, but five times the Giants got into the red zone, total from that they only got 3 pts! What kept the Giants in the game was McNabb's two intercepts and Westbrook only rushing for 36 yards off 18 carries. I think Arizona in the desert will be a much tougher assignment.
Finally in snowing conditions, Heinz field held up very well and in a high scoring affair the Steelers won 35-24. San Diego really shot themselves in the foot so many times, not so much in turnovers. But like the punt which bounced off Eric Weddle's helmet for Pittsburgh to recover. And not converting on third downs or dropping very catchable passes. For large periods of time I felt that 'if' the Chargers could get that big play, they could break Pittsburgh, but the 67 yard Punt return by Santonio Holmes was that early momentum break that the Steelers needed and the garbage time TD by Darren Sporrles off a 67 yard pass from Rivers was far far too late.
So lets get on to the important stuff who is going to be playing in the Superbowl and how?
The first game is the NFC Championship with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting Arizona at 7am Monday morning Sydney time. In all honesty I was a bit surprised that the line for Philadelphia has firmed and that it started so large. At -3.0 $1.80 (or -125) you could say the line was roughly -2.5 (with -3.0 being far more significant than -2.5). As I write this the line has moved to -3.5 the Eagles and the Total points has come in from 49½ to 47½ I always like backing the overs when the Arizona 'all passing' play. But after being burnt last week - mainly by Jake Delhomme rather than Arizona, I might stay away from the Overs this week. I know you could say that Arizona didn't win it last week, and Jake Delhomme lost it al by himself. But I think the Eagles will be weared out. I don't think the Eagles will underestimate the Cards, a bit like the Panthers did after going up 7-0 on the first drive. But I think back at home where they have been flying all season and unlike the NY Giants last year who looked fresh and ended up playing a very tiring Pats. Sure the offensive line of the Eagles ain't bad, but don't over estimate the game vs the NY Giants, the Giants have not got to McNabb in the last three meetings! Also I think like Arizona they faced QB's in Manning and Delhomme who happened to have their worse games ever! Rather than the Eagles defence having a great game. If you want to be conservative take Arizona with the start +3.5 thats available. But I will be taking Arizona Cardinals to win staright. Last time they played in week 13 the Eagles won 48-20 so maybe high scoring, that was in Philadelphia though and Arizona has started to loose the plot a little then. They have righted the ship now.
As you can tell from the pitcure of TE Edgar Jones I will be staying with the Baltimore Ravens to get to the Superbowl and hence win it all! Again if you want to be conservative take the +6.0 available, it started +4.5 for the Ravens so there has been money for the Steelers, against my tip. A bit like last game, where the Steelers opened at -3.5 favs and finished -7.0 favs at the jump. The Total 33.0 has moved up to 34.0 now. Soley based on the pitch, Heinz Field looked really good in the snow last week, so I don't think this will be an issue. The difference is the Baltimore Defense and why I think the Ravens will win the game, just like how they have won every game. It was the Ravens defense that stopped the Titans three times in the red zone, with two Intercepts and a fumble. I think we will see Ben Roethlisberger on his back and I think we will see points from the Ravens defense. Joe Flacco who is the ONLY rookie QuarterBack to win two playoff games, just think he already has two more playoff victories than Tony Romo - who supposabley has a better supporting cast! I think Flacco is much more than a 'game manager' he's a damn good player and though I was wondering what a QB from Deleware was doing starting in the NFL as a rookie, I got on this Ravens train when they beat the Dolphins 27-13 in Miami in week 7 and have been riding them all the way. He was not put off by the Titans Defense so much that DT Albert Haynesworth and his crew did not get one sack last game. Yeah the Ravens lost to the Steelers 9-13 in week 15 but that was close enough for me to say that the Ravens have improved and the Big Ben has got bagged up some more. Defense wins matches and sadly I think Ben Roethlisberger win get his fourth concussion when LB Terrell Suggs sluggs him 4 times in the game and jumps up to 20 sacks!
Finally in snowing conditions, Heinz field held up very well and in a high scoring affair the Steelers won 35-24. San Diego really shot themselves in the foot so many times, not so much in turnovers. But like the punt which bounced off Eric Weddle's helmet for Pittsburgh to recover. And not converting on third downs or dropping very catchable passes. For large periods of time I felt that 'if' the Chargers could get that big play, they could break Pittsburgh, but the 67 yard Punt return by Santonio Holmes was that early momentum break that the Steelers needed and the garbage time TD by Darren Sporrles off a 67 yard pass from Rivers was far far too late.
So lets get on to the important stuff who is going to be playing in the Superbowl and how?
The first game is the NFC Championship with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting Arizona at 7am Monday morning Sydney time. In all honesty I was a bit surprised that the line for Philadelphia has firmed and that it started so large. At -3.0 $1.80 (or -125) you could say the line was roughly -2.5 (with -3.0 being far more significant than -2.5). As I write this the line has moved to -3.5 the Eagles and the Total points has come in from 49½ to 47½ I always like backing the overs when the Arizona 'all passing' play. But after being burnt last week - mainly by Jake Delhomme rather than Arizona, I might stay away from the Overs this week. I know you could say that Arizona didn't win it last week, and Jake Delhomme lost it al by himself. But I think the Eagles will be weared out. I don't think the Eagles will underestimate the Cards, a bit like the Panthers did after going up 7-0 on the first drive. But I think back at home where they have been flying all season and unlike the NY Giants last year who looked fresh and ended up playing a very tiring Pats. Sure the offensive line of the Eagles ain't bad, but don't over estimate the game vs the NY Giants, the Giants have not got to McNabb in the last three meetings! Also I think like Arizona they faced QB's in Manning and Delhomme who happened to have their worse games ever! Rather than the Eagles defence having a great game. If you want to be conservative take Arizona with the start +3.5 thats available. But I will be taking Arizona Cardinals to win staright. Last time they played in week 13 the Eagles won 48-20 so maybe high scoring, that was in Philadelphia though and Arizona has started to loose the plot a little then. They have righted the ship now.
As you can tell from the pitcure of TE Edgar Jones I will be staying with the Baltimore Ravens to get to the Superbowl and hence win it all! Again if you want to be conservative take the +6.0 available, it started +4.5 for the Ravens so there has been money for the Steelers, against my tip. A bit like last game, where the Steelers opened at -3.5 favs and finished -7.0 favs at the jump. The Total 33.0 has moved up to 34.0 now. Soley based on the pitch, Heinz Field looked really good in the snow last week, so I don't think this will be an issue. The difference is the Baltimore Defense and why I think the Ravens will win the game, just like how they have won every game. It was the Ravens defense that stopped the Titans three times in the red zone, with two Intercepts and a fumble. I think we will see Ben Roethlisberger on his back and I think we will see points from the Ravens defense. Joe Flacco who is the ONLY rookie QuarterBack to win two playoff games, just think he already has two more playoff victories than Tony Romo - who supposabley has a better supporting cast! I think Flacco is much more than a 'game manager' he's a damn good player and though I was wondering what a QB from Deleware was doing starting in the NFL as a rookie, I got on this Ravens train when they beat the Dolphins 27-13 in Miami in week 7 and have been riding them all the way. He was not put off by the Titans Defense so much that DT Albert Haynesworth and his crew did not get one sack last game. Yeah the Ravens lost to the Steelers 9-13 in week 15 but that was close enough for me to say that the Ravens have improved and the Big Ben has got bagged up some more. Defense wins matches and sadly I think Ben Roethlisberger win get his fourth concussion when LB Terrell Suggs sluggs him 4 times in the game and jumps up to 20 sacks!
Happy Punting, just remember Betchoice.com were up Superbowl prices during all games and we will be again, so you can effecticely bet live! - Brendon
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