Monday, December 29, 2008

Let's Go Wild for the Wild Card games



Well not that surprisingly, as I suggested two posts ago... all four Wild cards are favourites in the Wild Card playoffs. All away from home and all are considered "better" teams and I have to totally agree with the odds maker with having the right favourites.

I was a bit surprised that Atlanta Falcons at -2.0 (opened -2.5) is more favoured to beat Arizona in Uni of Phoenix, then the Colts are favoured to beat the San Diego Chargers, only -1.0 favs. Which leads to why you all read this blog.. who will win and collect the cash.

Now I know historically that the Indianapolis Colts "struggle" against San Diego as the Chargers seem to play hard against the Colts. But from the picture you can tell who my two specials are, they might not be playing each other like pictured, but the Colts and the Ravens are my two Wild Card specials.

For mine the the Colts are playing at such a high level, and really are one of the elite teams in the NFL. With Peyton Manning in the team, I think anything can happen and it would not surprise me if they win the the Superbowl. Absolutely on fire. I should point out that the Colts (with the Carolina Panthers) were the first two teams I backed to win the Superbowl! I took the $11 about the Colts, they got out to $20 and I had some more. They are currently $10 at Betchoice.com and yes you can get better else where. The Colts won the week 12 matchup 23-20 in week 12, Adam Vinateri being the difference.

The other special, also in the AFC side is the Baltimore Ravens to beat the Miami Dolphins. They are -3.0 @ $1.80 favourites, or $1.53 at the Money line (straight out to win). Don't think that the Ravens are just about Defense, though this is a great starting point. But the rookie Joe Flacco (QB) and the rookie coach have this team playing a powerful game. Remember in week 4 this year, Baltimore travelled to Miami and won 27-13.

In the other two games, I am leaning to the two home teams, but am not suggesting they are good bets. Rather I think Arizona back at home can beat the Falcons, but it would not surprise me if the -2.0 favs Atlanta won. As with Minnesota, if they can get back to the running game and establish A.P. to allow the pass latter in the game, they can beat the Eagles. But the red hot Eagles still have that draw against the Bengals and that loss against the Redskins (3-10) in my head which gives me no confidence. If you twisted my arm I would take the Vikings.

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